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[amibroker] Re: DOW WAVES..... and the recent fall in the DJI



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Thanks for your insights Bill. 
I did have a chat with Donald Lambert 4 or 5 years ago. As you probly 
know he developed the CCI to test a new calculator, and then, 
although he wasn't trading, attempted to use it to figure out how to 
trade commodities.
Thats where those go long when it crosses up thru +100 level came 
from. Vice versa for shorts. I couldn't find anyone using that 
successfully, altho everything fits into some parameter sometime, and 
even he didn't appear confident.
I didn't remember him talking cycles.
You are quite correct 14-20 is a good approximate parameter level for 
tracking the daily trend, depending on volatility. In Dow Waves we 
were looking to find levels that also tracked the medium and the long 
term, and it was the parameter for the long term came out at 200.
I think I'll give the cycles a miss.
Regds and thanks again
Gerard


amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "wavemechanic" <fimdot@xxx> wrote:
>
> You ask less than 1/3 of what and why.  As for what, less than 1/3-
1/4 of the cycle associated with the periodicity in price during the 
period of interest (e.g., 5 years of weekly data, 1 week of 1 minute 
data, etc.).  As for why, the inventor of CCI (forgot his name) 
specified 1/3 in order to find the cyclical trend while keeping the 
mean deviation in the denominator of CCI from becoming too noisy but 
others feel that even smaller is better.  Typically 14-20 is 
recommended but even shorter values are used especially for 
daytrading.  As for references, the better TA textbooks discuss this 
stuff and I'm sure that you can find much on the net with Google.  It 
is not the holy grail, requiring judgment calls with respect to 
deviation vis-a-vis price, crossing of +/- 100, 200 levels, etc.  As 
with all indicators, it certainly should not be used in a vacuum but 
with other indicators, chart analysis, crystal balls, moon phases, 
etc.  Hope that addresses your questions.
> 
> Bill
> 
> ----- Original Message ----- 
> From: "Gerard Carey" <gcfinance@xxx>
> To: <amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Tuesday, March 13, 2007 3:48 AM
> Subject: [amibroker] Re: DOW WAVES..... and the recent fall in the 
DJI
> 
> 
> > Hi Bill
> > Less than 1/3 (some say 1/4)
> > Of What? Why?
> > Could you elaborate, or give me a link pse.
> > Always interested in new perspectives.
> > Regds and thanks
> > Gerard
> > 
> > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "wavemechanic" <fimdot@> wrote:
> >>
> >> The time period for CCI() should be less than 1/3 (some say 1/4) 
> > cycle.  This argues for a time period much below 200 for daily 
^DJI.
> >> 
> >> Bill
> >> 
> >> ----- Original Message ----- 
> >> From: "brian.z123" <brian.z123@>
> >> To: <amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> >> Sent: Monday, March 12, 2007 7:58 AM
> >> Subject: [amibroker] Re: DOW WAVES..... and the recent fall in 
the 
> > DJI
> >> 
> >> 
> >> > Gerard,
> >> > 
> >> > Bad news and good news.
> >> > 
> >> > I have put up a DowIndicator PDF in the group files (2 pages 
of 
> >> > comment).
> >> > 
> >> > The bad news is I critique your indicator a little.
> >> > 
> >> > Good news is I brought along her sister, who is not too bad 
> > looking 
> >> > at first glance.
> >> > 
> >> > BrianB2.
> >> > 
> >> > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Gerard Carey" <gcfinance@> 
> >> > wrote:
> >> >>
> >> >> For those interested in the indicator, Mr Dow gives us here, 
> > just a
> >> >> slightly different slant on how to view the market (and our 
> >> > indicator).
> >> >> 
> >> >> Charles Dow, in the "Wall Street Journal", January 31, 1901: 
> >> >> "A person watching the tide coming in and who wishes to know 
the 
> >> > spot
> >> >> which marks the high tide, sets a stick in the sand at the 
points
> >> >> reached by the incoming waves..........
> >> >> 
> >> >> Again I've put the guff on an attachment to spare the 
> > uninterested.
> >> >> 
> >> >> Regds and good trading
> >> >> Gerard
> >> >> 
> >> >> -- 
> >> >> http://www.fastmail.fm - I mean, what is it about a decent 
email 
> >> > service?
> >> >>
> >> > 
> >> > 
> >> > 
> >> > 
> >> > 
> >> > Please note that this group is for discussion between users 
only.
> >> > 
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> >> > 
> >> > 
> >> > 
> >> > 
> >> > 
> >> > 
> >> > -- 
> >> > No virus found in this incoming message.
> >> > Checked by AVG Free Edition.
> >> > Version: 7.5.446 / Virus Database: 268.18.7/711 - Release 
Date: 
> > 3/5/2007 9:41 AM
> >> > 
> >> >
> >>
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > Please note that this group is for discussion between users only.
> > 
> > To get support from AmiBroker please send an e-mail directly to 
> > SUPPORT {at} amibroker.com
> > 
> > For NEW RELEASE ANNOUNCEMENTS and other news always check DEVLOG:
> > http://www.amibroker.com/devlog/
> > 
> > For other support material please check also:
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> > Yahoo! Groups Links
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> > 
> > 
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> > 
> > -- 
> > No virus found in this incoming message.
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3/12/2007 8:41 AM
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>




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