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[amibroker] Re: OT: Statistics



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links

You may find this interview with William Eckhardt and Richard Dennis
interesting (scroll down to the Mon Sep 01, 2003 7:23 am post):

http://www.tradingblox.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=3648

--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "brian.z123" <brian.z123@xxx> wrote:
>
> QuantTrader,
> 
> You are in the right topic.
> I took a part of it somewhere else which it not that smart a thing 
> to do as it causes confusion and de-values the original subject.
> 
> Thanks for the tip.
> I like the look of it.
> It's right up my alley.
> I will add it to the trading toolbox.
> 
> I am following up on PS's leads also.
> 
> I first came across a calender bias when I selected the first day of 
> each month as a pseudo random entry for control purposes and got a 
> surprise when it exhibited a bias.
> I have yet to try AB's random() but it is not far away so your help 
> was timely.
> I have plotted random numbers in Xcel as a pseudo *break-even trade* 
> equity curve and I was stunned.
> It was the biggest eye-opener I have experienced in trading.
> New traders should try it.
> The similarity to stockmarket chart patterns is uncanny and the 
> winning/losing equity curves produced from a known *no win* system 
> are scary.
> From that moment on I started to take statistics and evaluation very 
> seriously.
> 
> I maintain a reading list from amongst the better sellers at Amazon 
> and I take it that they represent the knowledge base of most of us 
> in the earlier years.
> From those books I have formed the view that statistics have been 
> poorly treated by the average author in the field.
> If that flows on to traders then I would say a lot are underdone on 
> the subject.
> 
> I also think that this forum offers superior trading advice to that 
> on offer in the majority of textbooks, on almost any trading subject 
> one could care to investigate.
> I admit it is a little spread out and unstructured at times but it 
> is all in there somewhere.
> 
> I probably will raise the subject of statistics again in the future 
> if I have any questions or when I have some more clout and can 
> contribute something more substantial to the debate.
> 
> Thanks once again.
> 
> BrianB2.



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