[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]

Re: Interpreting backtest results



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links

Hi Tomasz,

Thank you for your tip.  I will look into the trade list carefully and
see what caused the difference in the outcome.
Oh, I forgot to mention but my system is a daytrading system, so
trades entered prior to 2004/1/1 would not affect the outcome, at
least that is my understanding.

Regards,

intermilan04

--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Tomasz Janeczko" <amibroker@xxx> wrote:
>
> Hello,
> 
> You don't post the trade list but I guess that it takes a few
DIFFERENT trades in fact.
> The difference may be because if a "buy" signal is generated prior
to 2004/1/
> such trade is entered in case 1) but not entered in case 2) and if
it is profitable
> trade it will result in 1) having better profit than 2)
> 
> So you have to carefully compare trades at the boundary of analysis
period.
> 
> Best regards,
> Tomasz Janeczko
> amibroker.com
> ----- Original Message ----- 
> From: "intermilan04" <intermilan04@xxx>
> To: <amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Thursday, June 08, 2006 5:16 AM
> Subject: [amibroker] Interpreting backtest results
> 
> 
> Hi all,
> 
> I'm having trouble interpreting the result of my backtest where:
> 
> 1) When I backtested my system between 1996-2006, my equity as of
> 2004/1/1 was 239,047,456 and 2004/12/31 was $235,772,048, loss of 2%
> for the year of 2004.
> 
> 2) when I backtested THE SAME SYSTEM from 2004/1/1 to 2004/12/31 (just
> that particular year of 2004), my equity goes from $30000 to $19417
> for a loss of whooping 35% for the year of 2004.
> 
> Although the amount of money is different for the former and the
> latter, the backtester makes same trades throughout 2004 (i.e. if the
> former trades ABC on 2004/3/3, so does the latter).  I split my funds
> evenly among 4 trades at once.  However, the former only loses 2%
> throughout the year of 2004 while the latter loses 35%.
> 
> If anyone has seen something like this, could you please explain as to
> why this may occur?
> 
> Thank you in advance,
> 
> intermilan04
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> Please note that this group is for discussion between users only.
> 
> To get support from AmiBroker please send an e-mail directly to 
> SUPPORT {at} amibroker.com
> 
> For other support material please check also:
> http://www.amibroker.com/support.html
> 
>  
> Yahoo! Groups Links
>