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Re: [amibroker] Cycles



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Thanks very much Jason. 

I have to one day get down to reading JM Hurst's book.
It has been highly recommended by a lot of very
seasoned traders on another list I am a member of. 

Matter of fact there is a gentleman by the name of
Clyde Lee who has a TradeStation ela for Hurst
Channels for sale and that too is highly regarded by
some e-mini traders . Since I am  not using TS so cant
use it and also please note folks USUAL DISCLAIMERS
APPLY i.e. I have no interest in promoting the
product. Also Clyde doesnt need anyone recommending
his work least of all me.


Regards


Rakesh
--- Jason Hart <jhart_1972@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:

> Rakesh,
>  
> Try this formula from the library.  It is based on
> some of JM Hurst's work.  He's written some good
> books on this subject - check out "Profit from
> transaction timing" ~ that's not the exact title but
> something along those lines.
>  
> Jason
>  
> 
> Plot( Close, "Price", colorWhite, styleCandle );
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> // -------------------- HURST DE
> ---------------------
> 
> // --- by Ace
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> // Hurst DE based on Centered SMA's with a forward
> projected
> 
> // curve based on A parabolic fit 
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> // SET THE S/T and I/T PERIODS
> 
> periodicity=Interval();
> 
> p1=Param("1) S/T DE Period",20,3,373,1);
> 
> p2=Param("2) I/T DE Period",50,3,373,1);
> 
> p3=Param("3) L/T DE Period",144,3,373,1);
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> // Moving Averages and Lags
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> p0=p1/2;
> 
> IIf(p1/2!=round(p1/2),p0=p0-1,p0=p0);
> 
> Ave0=MA(Avg,p0);
> 
> Ave1=MA(Avg,p1);
> 
> Ave2=MA(Avg,p2);
> 
> Ave3=MA(Avg,p3);
> 
> Lag0=(p0+1)/2;
> 
> Lag1=(p1+1)/2;
> 
> Lag2=(p2+1)/2;
> 
> Lag3=(p3+1)/2;
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> // Center the MA's
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> cma0=Ref(Ave0,Lag0);
> 
> cma1=Ref(Ave1,Lag1);
> 
> cma2=Ref(Ave2,Lag2);
> 
> cma3=Ref(Ave3,Lag3);
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> // Percentage Based Widths
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> k=3;
> 
> dp1=LastValue(Ref(StDev( (Close-cma1)/cma1, k*p1
> ),(p1+1)/2-1));
> 
> dp2=LastValue(Ref(StDev( (Close-cma2)/cma2, k*p2
> ),(p2+1)/2-1));
> 
> dp3=LastValue(Ref(StDev( (Close-cma3)/cma3, k*p3
> ),(p3+1)/2-1));
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> // Arithmetic Widths
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> /*
> 
> Hilo=IIf(H-cma1>=cma1-L,H-cma1,L-cma1);
> 
> //dp1=LastValue(Ref(StDev( (Close-cma1), k*p1
> ),-Lag1));
> 
> dp1=LastValue(Ref(StDev( Hilo, k*p1 ),-Lag1));
> 
> Hilo=IIf(H-cma2>=cma2-L,H-cma2,L-cma2);
> 
> //dp2=LastValue(Ref(StDev( Close-cma2, k*p2
> ),-Lag2));
> 
> dp2=LastValue(Ref(StDev( Hilo, k*p2 ),-Lag2));
> 
> Hilo=IIf(H-cma3>=cma3-L,H-cma3,L-cma3);
> 
> //dp3=LastValue(Ref(StDev( Close-cma3, k*p3
> ),-Lag3));
> 
> dp3=LastValue(Ref(StDev( Hilo, k*p3 ),-Lag3));
> 
> */
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> // Calculate a Parabolic Extension for the S/T DE
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> tn=round(p1/6);
> 
> fillforward=BarIndex() >= LastValue( BarIndex()
> )-Lag1;
> 
> t=BarIndex()-Ref(BarIndex(),Lag1)+Lag1;
> 
> // Get Constants for the Parabolic fit equation
> 
> Sm=LastValue(Ref(Ave1,-2*tn));
> 
> // This coordinate is actually t=0
> 
> So=LastValue(Ref(Ave1,-tn));
> 
> Sp=LastValue(Ave1);
> 
> // Calculate coeff's for the parabola
> 
> Ak=So; 
> 
> Bk=(Sp-Sm)/2/tn; 
> 
> Ck=(Sp+Sm-2*So)/2/tn^2; 
> 
> parabfit1=Ak+Bk*t+Ck*t^2;
> 
> dy1=LastValue(Ave1)-Ak;
> 
> cma1=IIf(fillforward,parabfit1+dy1,cma1);
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> // Calculate a Parabolic Extension for the I/T DE
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> tn=round(p2/6);
> 
> fillforward=BarIndex() >= LastValue( BarIndex()
> )-Lag2;
> 
> t=BarIndex()-Ref(BarIndex(),Lag2)+Lag2;
> 
> // Get Constants for the Parabolic fit equation
> 
> Sm=LastValue(Ref(Ave2,-2*tn));
> 
> // This coordinate is actually t=0
> 
> So=LastValue(Ref(Ave2,-tn));
> 
> Sp=LastValue(Ave2);
> 
> // Calculate coeff's for the parabola
> 
> Ak=So; 
> 
> Bk=(Sp-Sm)/2/tn; 
> 
> Ck=(Sp+Sm-2*So)/2/tn^2; 
> 
> parabfit2=Ak+Bk*t+Ck*t^2;
> 
> dy2=LastValue(Ave2)-Ak;
> 
> cma2=IIf(fillforward,parabfit2+dy2,cma2);
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> // Calculate a Parabolic Extension for the L/T DE
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> tn=round(p3/6);
> 
> fillforward=BarIndex() >= LastValue( BarIndex()
> )-Lag3;
> 
> t=BarIndex()-Ref(BarIndex(),Lag3)+Lag3;
> 
> // Get Constants for the Parabolic fit equation
> 
> Sm=LastValue(Ref(Ave3,-2*tn));
> 
> // This coordinate is actually t=0
> 
> So=LastValue(Ref(Ave3,-tn));
> 
> Sp=LastValue(Ave3);
> 
> // Calculate coeff's for the parabola
> 
> Ak=So; 
> 
> Bk=(Sp-Sm)/2/tn; 
> 
> Ck=(Sp+Sm-2*So)/2/tn^2; 
> 
> parabfit3=Ak+Bk*t+Ck*t^2;
> 
> dy3=LastValue(Ave3)-Ak;
> 
> cma3=IIf(fillforward,parabfit3+dy3,cma3);
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> // Fast MA with parabolic fit - p1/2 period
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> tn=round(p0/6);
> 
> fillforward=BarIndex() >= LastValue( BarIndex()
> )-Lag0;
> 
> t=BarIndex()-Ref(BarIndex(),Lag0)+Lag0;
> 
> // Get Constants for the Parabolic fit equation
> 
> Sm=LastValue(Ref(Ave0,-2*tn));
> 
> // This coordinate is actually t=0
> 
> So=LastValue(Ref(Ave0,-tn));
> 
> Sp=LastValue(Ave0);
> 
> // Calculate coeff's for the parabola
> 
> Ak=So; 
> 
> Bk=(Sp-Sm)/2/tn; 
> 
> Ck=(Sp+Sm-2*So)/2/tn^2; 
> 
> parabfit0=Ak+Bk*t+Ck*t^2;
> 
> dy0=LastValue(Ave0)-Ak;
> 
> cma0=IIf(fillforward,parabfit0+dy0,cma0);
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> Plot( Close, "OHLC", colorBlack, styleCandle);
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> // Plot Arithmetic Bands
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> /*
> 
> //Plot(cma1,"I/T-CTR",colorRed,styleLine); 
> 
> Plot(cma1+2*dp1,"S/T-UB",colorRed,styleLine);
> 
> Plot(cma1-2*dp1,"S/T-LB",colorRed,styleLine);
> 
> //Plot(cma2,"I/T-CTR",colorBlue,styleLine);
> 
> Plot(cma2+2*dp2,"I/T-UB",colorBlue,styleLine);
> 
> Plot(cma2-2*dp2,"I/T-LB",colorBlue,styleLine);
> 
> //Plot(cma3,"L/T-CTR",colorGreen,styleLine);
> 
> Plot(cma3+2*dp3,"L/T-UB",colorGreen,styleLine);
> 
> Plot(cma3-2*dp3,"L/T-LB",colorGreen,styleLine);
> 
> Plot(cma0,"Zline",colorBrown,styleLine);
> 
> */
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> // Write the selected bar lengths to the window
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> "HURST DOMINANCY ENVELOPES";
> 
> "Current Periods are set to: ";
> 
> "S/T Period: "+WriteVal(p1,3.0);
> 
> "I/T Period: "+WriteVal(p2,3.0);
> 
> "L/T Period: "+WriteVal(p3,3.0);
> 
> " ";
> 
> "Select a range on the screen to calculate a
> period.";
> 
> " ";
> 
> rangelength = EndValue( BarIndex() ) - BeginValue(
> BarIndex() );
> 
> "Selected Range is "+
> 
> WriteVal( rangelength, format = 3.0 )+
> 
> " bars";
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> // Use the below plotting for % Width Bands 
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> m=2.2;
> 
> Plot(cma1*(1+m*dp1),WriteVal(p1,3.0)+"p"+"
> UB",colorRed,styleLine);
> 
> Plot(cma1*(1-m*dp1),"LB",colorRed,styleLine);
> 
> Plot(cma2*(1+m*dp2),WriteVal(p2,3.0)+"p"+"
> UB",colorBlue,styleLine);
> 
> Plot(cma2*(1-m*dp2),"LB",colorBlue,styleLine);
> 
> Plot(cma3*(1+m*dp3),WriteVal(p3,3.0)+"p"+"
> UB",colorGreen,styleLine);
> 
> Plot(cma3*(1-m*dp3),"LB",colorGreen,styleLine);
> 
> ub=cma1*(1+m*dp1);
> 
> Lb=cma1*(1-m*dp1);
> 
> inpercentage1=Sum(IIf(H<ub AND H>lb AND L<ub AND 
> 
> L>lb,1,0),3*p1)/3/p1*100;
> 
> "";
> 
> ub=cma2*(1+2*dp2);
> 
> Lb=cma2*(1-2*dp2);
> 
> inpercentage2=Sum(IIf(H<ub AND H>lb AND L<ub AND 
> 
> L>lb,1,0),3*p2)/3/p2*100;
> 
> ub=cma3*(1+2*dp3);
> 
> Lb=cma3*(1-2*dp3);
> 
> inpercentage3=Sum(IIf(H<ub AND H>lb AND L<ub AND 
> 
> L>lb,1,0),3*p3)/3/p3*100;
> 
> "";
> 
> WriteVal(inpercentage1,3.0)+"% prices within 1st DE
> over 3 Periods";
> 
> WriteVal(inpercentage2,3.0)+"% prices within 2nd DE
> over 3 Periods";
> 
> WriteVal(inpercentage3,3.0)+"% prices within 3rd DE
> over 3 Periods";
> 
> PlotShapes(IIf(Cross(BarIndex(),BarCount-1-
> 
> (p1+1)/2),shapeSmallUpTriangle,0), colorRed, 0,
> cma1*(1-2*dp1));
> 
> PlotShapes(IIf(Cross(BarIndex(),BarCount-1-
> 
> (p2+1)/2),shapeSmallUpTriangle,0), colorBlue, 0,
> cma2*(1-2*dp2));
> 
> PlotShapes(IIf(Cross(BarIndex(),BarCount-1-
> 
> (p3+1)/2),shapeSmallUpTriangle,0), colorGreen, 0,
> cma3*(1-2*dp3));
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
> // Clyde Lee said that Hurst recommended going back
> one 
> 
> // full cycle to and copy that centerline shape to
> the 
> 
> // shifted CMA to project forward for the envelopes.
> 
>
//------------------------------------------------------
> 
>
dy1=LastValue(Ref(cma1,-3*p1/2))-LastValue(Ref(cma1,-p1/2));
> 
>
RefCMA1=IIf(BarIndex()>=BarCount-p1/2-1,Ref(cma1,-p1),Null)-dy1;
> 
> Plot(RefCMA1*(1+m*dp1),"RefUB1",colorOrange);
> 
> Plot(RefCMA1*(1-m*dp1),"RefLB1",colorOrange);
> 
>  
> 
>
dy2=LastValue(Ref(cma2,-3*p2/2))-LastValue(Ref(cma2,-p2/2));
> 
>
Refcma2=IIf(BarIndex()>=BarCount-p2/2-1,Ref(cma2,-p2),Null)-dy2;
> 
> Plot(Refcma2*(1+m*dp2),"RefUB1",colorLightBlue);
> 
> Plot(Refcma2*(1-m*dp2),"RefLB1",colorLightBlue);
> 
>
dy3=LastValue(Ref(cma3,-3*p3/2))-LastValue(Ref(cma3,-p3/2));
> 
>
Refcma3=IIf(BarIndex()>=BarCount-p3/2-1,Ref(cma3,-p3),Null)-dy3;
> 
> Plot(Refcma3*(1+m*dp3),"RefUB1",colorSeaGreen);
> 
> Plot(Refcma3*(1-m*dp3),"RefLB1",colorSeaGreen);
> 
> a1=(C-Ref(C,-1))/(Ref(C,-1))*100;
> 
> b = 1041231;
> 
> a=DateNum()==b;
> 
> i=ValueWhen(a,C);
> 
> ii = ((C-i)/i)*100;
> 
> Title = Name() + " - " + WriteVal( DateTime(),
> formatDateTime ) + " - " + " Open: " + O + ", Hi: "
> + H + ", Low: " + L + ", Close: " + C + " " +
> NumToStr(a1,1.2) + "%" + ", Volume: " + Writeb = 
>
________________________________________________________
> 
> Rakesh Sahgal <rakeshsahgal@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
> Hi All
> 
> 
> Has anyone done any work on identifying the cycle
> prevalent in any market at a given point in time,
> that
> they would not mind sharing?
> 
> TIA
> 
> 
> Rakesh
> 
> 
> 
>             
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