[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]

Re: [amibroker] Exit Strategy (was Re: TJ: TASC February 2005 TradersTips)



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links

Fred:

I think what you are saying is that setting monetary stops (i.e., stops based on hitting a price target based on a percentage or point move) is for the birds but setting stops based on some TA pattern (support or resistance levels) makes more logical sense, right? I'm talking more about stopLOSSES rather than PROFIT stops.

Al Venosa

Fred wrote:

One would I think ?! need to demonstrate whether using some
methodology to take profits off the table or not was better or worse
than its counter part in some system.  For any given system it is
imho not clear at all which route is better without seeing the
trades, which there are hopefully enough of to perform a valid
examination, and then determining which method is superior and why. 
As far as n-point profit targets or stops goes imho they're for the
birds ... this type of thing either works with percentages where the
same meaning is implied if the tradable is at 50, 500 or 5000 or they
aren't worth bothering with.

--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "yukitaga" <yukitaga@xxxx> wrote:
>
> Someone who shall remain nameless tossed out this gem for serious
> consideration (watch the line wrap):
>
> > Is exiting a portion of your trade before your profit target is
> > hit a viable strategy?
>
> (watch the line wrap)
>
>
http://www.traders.com/Documentation/FEEDbk_docs/Abstracts_new/Passam
> onte/Passamonte.html
>
> The guy who wrote this is a real kick.  ^^_^^  First, he begins his
> article with an invocation to the sanctity of mathematics, which I
> don't really have a problem with.  But then he proceeds to set up a
> straw man using statistics, which Mark Twain had a commentary on
> something to the superlative of 'damned lies'.
>
> (If you have never read "Letters From The Earth" [Mark Twain], you
> are missing one of the great satirical writings in the English
> language.  I don't literally ROTFLOL very often, but I did many
> times when reading that book.)
>
> The whole *point* of taking something off the table before some
> profit target is hit seems to be beyond this self-
> proclaimed "professional trader" who (I paraphrase) doesn't bother
> with a "few points" on the S&P, but who holds out for 5 to 10
points
> or more on every trade.
>
> I'm impressed . . . ^^_^^  No, really!  ^^_^^  I love taking the
> other side of the trade against people who know where the market is
> headed before it arrives there, and who aren't going to take
> any "nonsenese" from the market if it happens to disagree.
>
> But this God's gift to trading doesn't even seem to understand that
> one RAISES THE STOP when one takes a partial profit on a position. 
> The whole point, the only point, and the point that counts is:
> DEFENSE.  That is why one takes partial profits.  One does not do
it
> attempting to maximize profits, but to protect capital. 
> Maximization of profit is wonderful.  Hey, I'm all for it.  But
only
> AFTER the defense is set up.  Before that, the whole idea is
> balderdash and hooey gooey poppycock.  Perhaps someone else has
> better and more modern adjectives.  My English is dated.  In any
> case, defense first, and anyone who doesn't play that way is dead
> meat in this business.
>
> But the silly little argument with charts in that article has
> someone taking a profit, then leaving the stop below breakeven.
>
> Duh!  Gee, I wonder why the math works out like that?  *_*
>
> Sorry, but I just couldn't let that little bit of 3-card Monty go
> without a challenge.
>
> Yuki





Check AmiBroker web page at:
http://www.amibroker.com/

Check group FAQ at: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/files/groupfaq.html




Check AmiBroker web page at:
http://www.amibroker.com/

Check group FAQ at: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/files/groupfaq.html




Yahoo! Groups Links