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Hi Pal,
The paragraph below both bores and tires me, sorry. I don't think it
adds much to this board, and I'm not going to get into a discussion
with you. Sorry I took your bait.
Yuki
Monday, January 17, 2005, 7:37:36 AM, you wrote:
PA> Hi Yuki,
PA> My conclusion is based on several years of walk-forward testing my
PA> system with real-data in real-time. If you arrive at a contradiction
PA> in your evidence or your results, please check your premises: you
PA> will find that one of them will be wrong. I would always verify and
PA> interpret my detected evidence as well as my detected results.
PA> If I have failed to detect/verify/interpret evidence, and the price
PA> has collapsed, then my framework of evidence is not robust, i.e., it
PA> has failed to gather the necessary evidence. If instead, I have
PA> gathered the evidence but failed to detect/verify/interpret the
PA> results, then my signal detection system is not robust, i.e, it has
PA> failed to detect the signal. Of course, it is also possible that
PA> both the framework of evidence as well as the signal detection system
PA> (architecture) is not robust enough. The architecture stands or
PA> falls with the framework.
PA> rgds, Pal
PA> --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, Yuki Taga <yukitaga@xxxx> wrote:
>> Hi Pal,
>>
>> Monday, January 17, 2005, 6:24:04 AM, you wrote:
>>
>> >> And when we have the ability to partially liquidate a position,
>> >> some tests will make great sense that we simply cannot do right
>> >> now. I'm waiting with such anticipation.
>> >>
>> >> Yuki
>>
>> PA> The only Exit strategy I would consider:
>>
>> PA> The reasons I had when I entered a trade are no longer there,
PA> i.e.,
>> PA> the framework of evidence, collapsed.
>>
>> That's a great *philosophy* of trading, but it doesn't necessarily
>> translate into great trading. Sometimes it works fine, but
PA> sometimes
>> by the time you have enough "evidence" that your "framework of
>> evidence" has collapsed, so has price.
>>
>> Yuki
PA> Check AmiBroker web page at:
PA> http://www.amibroker.com/
PA> Check group FAQ at:
PA> http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/files/groupfaq.html
PA> Yahoo! Groups Links
Best,
Yuki
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