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[amibroker] Re: More Random thoughts.....



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I'd like to see the equity curve and statistics for the past 5 or 6 
years from an automated system where you're getting 20% per day.  If 
you could generate those kind of returns people would be coming out 
of the woodwork to bankroll your trading.  After all beginning with a 
balance of $100k you'd have close to $10b after 3 months.  Then of 
course you'd need to ante up some fairly fat estimated tax payment 
for uncle.

--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "palsanand" <palsanand@xxxx> wrote:
> Hi,
> 
> To make a trading system profitable, we need a good money mangement 
> system in-addition to a good signal detection, verification and 
> interpretation system.
> 
> I find it very difficult to automate good money management 
> strategies.  Sometimes, you have to enter the market at MOO 
(previous 
> session's close price), sometimes at High Of Day/Low Of Day etc.,  
> Sometimes you have to Pyramid/Pillar your losing positions and then 
> close out your losing positions at break even price.  Sometimes you 
> have to have wide stops, sometimes narrow stops, sometimes no stops 
> (combine options with the straight underlying instrument).  
Sometimes 
> the data is not accurate and so your back-testing results are 
bogus.  
> It is just too complex to automate all of them.  The best I can do 
is 
> to record my trades and co-relate with my trading report from my 
> account.  
> 
> I do not believe the back-testing report created by the software.  
I 
> don't think it is prudent to base your trading just on these back-
> testing results.  You have to test it in the real-world for about 1 
> year with real-world money-management strategies or atleast a 
> simulation account.  It is a very slow process...  one needs a hell 
> of a lot of patience, especially when you see your simulation 
account 
> grossing returns of over 20% a day...
> 
> Maybe the new portfolio tester...
> 
> Regards,
> 
> Pal
> 
> 
> 
> --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "jtelang" <jtelang@xxxx> wrote:
> > > After all, the bottom line is to make money! And not to second 
> > guess 
> > > what you think might occur next. The market is always right!
> > 
> > Amen!
> > 
> > I have a random question. Speaking of making money, how/what kind 
> of 
> > profitable systems have people in this group developed using AB? 
Do 
> > we have any heavy hitters who've written systems showing 
> _consistent_ 
> > 100+% return systems using AB? Anyone interested in results of 
such 
> a 
> > quick survey?
> > 
> > I myself am currently testing a system which shows following, 
which 
> > I'm in the process of confirming as I keep finding bugs in it :-
) -
> > 
> > Trading type: Stocks (only long plays)
> > Period: Short term, 2-5 days in a trade.
> > Avg annual return over last 5 years of data: Around 30%
> > Max system % drawdown: 20%
> > 
> > I know its certainly not a high flying system by any means, but 
at 
> > the same time I also read everywhere that most traders end up 
> losing 
> > money, so at least by that standard it sounds like a good one to 
> > start with. :-)
> > 
> > Would love to hear statistics from other experts here. I'm sure 
> > there're lots of them...
> > 
> > Jitu
> > 
> > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Joe" 
> <run_for_your_life2003@xxxx> 
> > wrote:
> > > Yeah, trust you signals because if they give you the wrong 
signal 
> > > you can only blame yourself for your mistakes.
> > > At the moment a lot of investors thinks this market will tank 
in 
> > > October! I still buy according to the signals on my graph!
> > > 
> > > Will the majority be fooled this month thinking a downmove in 
> > stocks 
> > > and in reality happens in November. I buy my stocks according 
to 
> my 
> > > signals! Very rarely listen to news on television or the 
> newspaper 
> > > and do a much better job on investing now.
> > > 
> > > After all, the bottom line is to make money! And not to second 
> > guess 
> > > what you think might occur next. The market is always right!
> > > 
> > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "palsanand" <palsanand@xxxx> 
> > wrote:
> > > > Hi,
> > > > 
> > > > READ NOTHING, LISTEN TO NO ONE, EXCEPT YOUR SIGNALS...  
SIGNALS 
> > > TALK 
> > > > TO YOU, SOMETIMES THEY SCREAM...
> > > > 
> > > > LEARN TO BUY ON BEARISH NEWS AND SELL ON BULLISH NEWS
> > > > 
> > > > Regards,
> > > > 
> > > > Pal
> > > > 
> > > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "palsanand" 
<palsanand@xxxx> 
> > > wrote:
> > > > > Hi,
> > > > > 
> > > > > THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND BUT NOT WHEN IT IS GOING TO END....
> > > > > CUT YOUR LOSSES SHORT & LET YOUR PROFITS RUN....
> > > > > THERE IS A TIME TO GO SHORT, A TIME TO GO LONG, AND A TIME 
TO 
> > GO 
> > > > > FISHING....
> > > > > BUY LOW, SELL HIGH....
> > > > > BUY EAGERLY, SELL RELUCTANTLY....
> > > > > YOU CAN'T CHERRY PICK SIGNALS, YOU HAVE TO TRADE EVERY DAMN 
> ONE 
> > > OF 
> > > > > THEM....
> > > > > 
> > > > > Regards,
> > > > > 
> > > > > Pal


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