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RE: [amibroker] Robustness testing & Over-optimization checklist



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<SPAN 
class=363163900-01102003>thanks for the feedback.
<SPAN 
class=363163900-01102003> 
<SPAN 
class=363163900-01102003>I get that there should be plateaus, not spikey peaks, 
in the yield map as you change paramter settings. what I don't get is the 68% 
thing. 
<SPAN 
class=363163900-01102003> 
<SPAN 
class=363163900-01102003>does it mean you should restrict the range of each 
parameter so that at least 68% of the settings within that range are profitable? 
typically, people settle on one specific set of settings they hope will work 
well for some range of issues over som range of time. how is the system more or 
less robust by restricting the range of parameters over which you tested to 
arrive at the ones you actually use?
<SPAN 
class=363163900-01102003> 
<SPAN 
class=363163900-01102003>dave
<BLOCKQUOTE 
>
  For #10, Kaufman is refering to the notion that 
  the majority (68%) of the range of parameters should be profitable.  In a 
  map of parameter values & associated returns, you want to see a plateau 
  instead of just spikes.  Check out the 3D optimization spreadsheet in the 
  Files section.
   
  Also, the order of parameters is crucial because 
  you should test the most importanat variables first, i.e. the ones that cause 
  the largest changes in your results.  Focus on those first and then on 
  the less important ones
   
  Yes, the book is excellent, not just for the 
  robustness section.  I haven't read his other trading system book yet 
  though so I don't know if there are similarities.
   
  HB






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