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Dimitris,
We have visited this area before. The D-Ratio indicator falls apart once
taken out of the last few years of bearish conditions. See the attached
chart where D_Ratio for ^VLIC took us out of the ^NDX in mid November
1998 at ~1460, and kept us on the sidelines as the ^NDX went to ~4700.
I know you don't keep data back before 2000, but you should in my opinion -
unless you are sure that the coming year will be like 2000-2002 and not
like 1997-1999! Even if you do not backtest on 1997-1999 data, you should be
prepared to observe the behaviour of your excellent indicators during that
period.
Steve
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