[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]

RE: [amibroker] Historical volume filtering



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links




Al,
 
Thanks for the excellent, 
constructive reply.
 
Regarding stock splits, I 
always use ACTUAL prices and volumes for filtering.  IMO, using 
backadjusted values (for filtering) is useless.  Backadjusted prices and 
volumes are frequently off by a factor of ten to one hundred times the values 
that actually were recorded on the day.
 
I had in mind normalising 
the average volume, probably using a moving 12-month window.   I think 
the range I proposed, 100,000 to 300,000, is probably what I would 
use.   To be accurate, I don't really use volume.  I use 
turnover, which is actual volume multiplied by the actual closing 
price.    With that in mind, I might use a turnover range of 
something like 200,000 to 500,000.   I didn't want to prematurely 
complicate the discussion by mentioning turnover.   

 
Thanks again for your 
input.
<BLOCKQUOTE 
>
  -----Original 
  Message-----From: Al Venosa 
  [mailto:advenosa@xxxxxxxxxxxx]Sent: Thursday, June 19, 2003 8:21 
  PMTo: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: Re: [amibroker] 
  Historical volume filtering
  Chuck,
   
  I, too, have often wondered how to apply a volume filter to the distant 
  past. What you suggest makes sense. However, it might be a little more 
  accurate if you normalized annual volume of the NYSE to 1985 and then 
  increased your multiplier each year by the incremental increase (or decrease) 
  in volume for the next year. So, each year there would be a different 
  multiplier applied to your filter (starting with 1985 being 1). Also, why 
  limit it to the NYSE? If you trade NASDAQ stocks, do the same for them. Or, 
  how about the Wilshire 5000 for the entire market? 
   
  Of course, this brings on the next question. If you also filter on stocks 
  with a price > $20/share, for example, how do you handle stock splits over 
  the years? A $20 stock today might be $0.20/share or less back in 1985. Any 
  ideas along these lines? 
   
  Al Venosa
  <BLOCKQUOTE 
  >
    ----- Original Message ----- 
    <DIV 
    >From: 
    <A title=chuck_rademacher@xxxxxxxxxx 
    href="">Chuck Rademacher 
    To: <A title=amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    href="">amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    Sent: Thursday, June 19, 2003 8:01 
    PM
    Subject: [amibroker] Historical volume 
    filtering
    
    I 
    was about to send this email to "b", but I would welcome comments from 
    anyone else interested in such historical 
    work.  
    <FONT face=Arial color=#0000ff 
    size=2> 
    At 
    the risk of having some of you ask why it matters, my backtesting generally 
    goes back to 1985.    Just yesterday, I posted a message to 
    this group saying that I always use one set of parameters across all stocks 
    and across all timeframes.   One of the downsides of this 
    approach (perhaps) is that volume has changed over time.   I 
    suppose that one could argue that volatility changes over time as 
    well.   Volatility, however, goes through cycles and volume just 
    keeps growing.
    <FONT face=Arial color=#0000ff 
    size=2> 
    <FONT face=Arial color=#0000ff 
    size=2>The question that I have involves volume filtering.   To 
    me, it is essential that volume filters be applied to actual volume and not 
    backadjusted volume.  My concern, however, is that if I apply a 
    filter requiring an average of 300,000 shares, I don't get very many hits 
    back in the late 80's and early 90's.   
    <FONT face=Arial color=#0000ff 
    size=2> 
    I 
    have a solution in mind and would appreciate some input or dialogue on the 
    subject.    It seems to me that volume 
    filtering should be based on some percentage of the total volume of all 
    NYSE stocks (for instance).   I haven't done my homework yet, but 
    let's say that the average volume today is ten times more than it was in 
    1985.   If I decide to filter today at 300,000 shares, wouldn't it 
    make sense to filter based on 30,000 shares in 1985.   I can 
    probably answer that question myself by saying that I don't think 30,000 
    would be an adequate filter in 1985.   But I could scale it from 
    100,000 to 300,000 progressively between 1985 and 2003 based on mathematical 
    equation.
    <FONT face=Arial color=#0000ff 
    size=2> 
    <FONT face=Arial color=#0000ff 
    size=2>You may ask why backtesting to 1985 (or any other date) is 
    important.   There are dozens of reasons, but the most 
    important reason to me is that prospective investors in any funds that I 
    manage want to see how a proposed system would have performed over 
    a statistically meaningful period of time.   You can argue about 
    the relevance of such information, but THEY EXPECT TO SEE IT.   
    For the record, I also think that it is very important.
    <FONT face=Arial color=#0000ff 
    size=2> 
    <FONT 
    face=Arial color=#0000ff size=2>I welcome comments from anyone with an 
    interest or knowledge in this 
    area.Send BUG REPORTS to 
    bugs@xxxxxxxxxxxxxSend SUGGESTIONS to 
    suggest@xxxxxxxxxxxxx-----------------------------------------Post 
    AmiQuote-related messages ONLY to: amiquote@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx (Web page: 
    <A 
    href="">http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amiquote/messages/)--------------------------------------------Check 
    group FAQ at: <A 
    href="">http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/files/groupfaq.html 
    Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the <A 
    href="">Yahoo! Terms of Service. 
    Send 
  BUG REPORTS to bugs@xxxxxxxxxxxxxSend SUGGESTIONS to 
  suggest@xxxxxxxxxxxxx-----------------------------------------Post 
  AmiQuote-related messages ONLY to: amiquote@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx (Web page: <A 
  href="">http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amiquote/messages/)--------------------------------------------Check 
  group FAQ at: <A 
  href="">http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/files/groupfaq.html 
  Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the <A 
  href="">Yahoo! Terms of Service. 







Yahoo! Groups Sponsor












Send BUG REPORTS to bugs@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Send SUGGESTIONS to suggest@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
-----------------------------------------
Post AmiQuote-related messages ONLY to: amiquote@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
(Web page: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amiquote/messages/)
--------------------------------------------
Check group FAQ at: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/files/groupfaq.html



Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of Service.