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Re: [amibroker] Re: Correctly backtesting a system



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Anthony Faragasso wrote:

...
> Outliers are usually considered to be 3 or more standard deviations from
> average.
> Essentially, they are aberrations that cause system results to be unfairly
> positively or negatively
> biased.  By removing outlier trades from the evaluation process, a new net
> profit figure can be
> calculated.  This new select net profit  figure, devoid of all aberrations,
> may offer a cleaner, more 
> realistic trading perspective.  

thanks Anthony, yes, using SDs is better than a fixed percent rate.


> In general, systems that are heavily dependent on outlier trades have
> artificially inflated or deflated
> net profit results.  Since Outlier trades generally do not reoccur on a
> regular basis, they should be
> removed to present a more realistic trading perspective.  The goal is to
> find a system with a select
> ( nonoutlier ) net profit figure worthy of trading.

I second that. 
So, the conclusion is then that applying such a filter by looking into
future quotes and filtering out such Outliers beforehand is then ok for backtesting.

UM



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