[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]

[amibroker] Re: TRENDING vs. RANGING markets (phsst)



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links

Tomasz,

If I need a question answered that is *REALLY* important to me then I
know to send you an email or bug report directly.

Be aware that while I might like to see some things done differently
in AmiBroker, in most cases I can work around the issues and would
rather see your efforts spent enhanceing the product further rather
than divert your attention and energy to those issues that I can work
around myself. 

So when you see me bantering about an issue in the message board
posts, just ignore me unless I specifically ask for your help.

Keep up the good work. And don't let the baby keep you awake at
night... we need you too ;-)

Regards,

Phsst

--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Tomasz Janeczko" <amibroker@xxxx>
wrote:
> Hello,
> 
> If you have a question to me send it to tj@xxxx
> (it can be CC: from the list).
> I am really very busy right now and I am not able
> to analyse every post sent to this list.
> 
> Best regards,
> Tomasz Janeczko
> amibroker.com
> 
> 
> ----- Original Message ----- 
> From: "Fred" <fctonetti@xxxx>
> To: <amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Friday, March 28, 2003 6:52 PM
> Subject: [amibroker] Re: TRENDING vs. RANGING markets (phsst)
> 
> 
> > Phsst,
> > 
> > These are all tough questions and would be best answered by the 
> > author.  In regards to some of your other questions, I personally 
> > find all measurements in terms of percents much more informative than 
> > measurements in terms of dollars for the reasons you state.  I don't 
> > think the MaxDD% that the reports show when trading more than one 
> > vehicle simultaneously are accurate as presented in terms of account 
> > balance but then I am not the author and I have not put much effort 
> > into this area as in general this is not something I do or at least 
> > not within a single account.
> > 
> > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "phsst" <phsst@xxxx> wrote:
> > > Fred,
> > > 
> > > No offense taken. System report is below. I set up the backtest 
> > using
> > > $20K per trade with no compounding.
> > > 
> > > Let me ask some questions about Amibroker's System Test Report and 
> > the
> > > Equity function(s):
> > > 
> > > If a system generates hundreds of trades over a 10 year backtest, 
> > does
> > > AB's sort all of the trades chronologically and then report dd's and
> > > equity chronologically, or are the System Report figures generated
> > > from the alphabetically sequenced trades (which would render the
> > > report  meaningless)? 
> > > 
> > > And further...
> > > 
> > > What real value are the reported drawdown figures? For example
> > > starting with $20,000 and then after a few years of using a trading
> > > system that accumulates a portfolio worth over $1,000,000... what 
> > does
> > > a reported Max. system drawdown of $-67,000 and a Max. system %
> > > drawdown of -73.09% really represent? Are the dd% figures based upon
> > > the original $20 portfolio or are they calculated on the value of 
> > the
> > > portfolio at the time the dd occurs?  I know for example that the
> > > system never experienced a -73% drawdown as measured by current
> > > portfolio value (single digit dd% are more like what I observed
> > > analyzing the trades in Excel). 
> > > 
> > > And the reported Max. system drawdown of -67,047 might be 
> > devastating
> > > against a $100K portfolio, but it is just a minor cost of doing
> > > business when measured against a trading system that has generated
> > > profit from winners of $3,232,044.
> > > 
> > > And what is the difference between max system drawdown and max trade
> > > drawdown since they are the same figure?
> > > 
> > > One more question... I don't understand what the reported "Total net
> > > profit: 13642497.00" figure is or how it is calculated.
> > > 
> > > As you can see, since there are many things I don't understand about
> > > the Amibroker System Test Report, I use my own methods of rooting 
> > out
> > > the viability of my trading systems. 
> > > 
> > > Anyway, here is the report: Let me know how you would interpret this
> > > reported data. Sorry if I sound 'dense', but when I don't understand
> > > exactly how a reporting tool works, then I tend to ignore it and do 
> > my
> > > own due diligence.
> > > 
> > > Overall performance summary
> > >  
> > > Total net profit: 13642497.00   Total commissions paid: 56136.00
> > > Return on account: 7.74 %   Open position gain/loss 0.00
> > > Buy&Hold profit: 147573728.28   Bars (avg. days) in test: 14623657 
> > (2407)
> > > Buy&Hold % return: 83.73%   System to Buy&Hold index: -90.76%
> > >  
> > > Annual system % return: 1.14%   Annual B&H % return: 9.66%
> > >  
> > > System drawdown: -13959.68   B&H drawdown: -19973.34
> > > Max. system drawdown: -67047.75   B&H max. drawdown: -76699124.91
> > > Max. system % drawdown: -73.09%   B&H max. % drawdown: -99.91%
> > > Max. trade drawdown: -67047.75      
> > > Max. trade % drawdown: -65.76%      
> > > Trade drawdown: -11338.25      
> > >  
> > > Total number of trades: 2339   Percent profitable: 49.8%
> > > Number winning trades: 1165   Number losing trades: 1174
> > > Profit of winners: 3232044.21   Loss of losers: -1308737.32
> > > Total # of bars in winners: 6062   Total # of bars in losers: 3072
> > > Commissions paid in winners: 27960.00   Commissions paid in losers:
> > > 28176.00
> > >  
> > > Largest winning trade: 53881.50   Largest losing trade: -11231.63
> > > # of bars in largest winner: 7   # bars in largest loser: 2
> > > Commission paid in largest winner: 24.00   Commission paid in 
> > largest
> > > loser: 24.00
> > >  
> > > Average winning trade: 2774.29   Average losing trade: -1114.77
> > > Avg. # of bars in winners: 5.2   Avg. # bars in losers: 2.6
> > > Avg. commission paid in winner: 24.00   Avg. commission paid in 
> > loser:
> > > 24.00
> > > Max consec. winners: 7   Max consec. losers: 5
> > >  
> > > Bars out of the market: 14606727   Interest earned: 11718469.88
> > >  
> > > Exposure: 0.1%   Risk adjusted ann. return: 142.34%
> > > Ratio avg win/avg loss: 2.49   Avg. trade (win & loss): 822.28
> > > Profit factor: 2.47  
> > > 
> > > Regards,
> > > 
> > > Phsst
> > > 
> > > 
> > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, Fred Tonetti <ftonetti@xxxx> 
> > wrote:
> > > > Phsst,
> > > > 
> > > > This is not meant to offend, but posting a %Return compounded or 
> > not is
> > > > not what I'd call results.
> > > > 
> > > > There isn't enough there to judge whether or not a particular 
> > avenue is
> > > > even worth investigating.  If the system has low dd's and a fairly
> > > > straight equity curve then it's probably at least worth some
> > > > investigation.
> > > > 
> > > > I'll go a little farther then a single number since pictures are 
> > usually
> > > > worth more than words . especially when they have statistics 
> > associated
> > > > with them.
> > > > 
> > > > PS I changed the equity line indicator recently to use a 
> > multilane title
> > > > for the statistics and reposted it in the files section.
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > Send BUG REPORTS to bugs@xxxx
> > Send SUGGESTIONS to suggest@xxxx
> > -----------------------------------------
> > Post AmiQuote-related messages ONLY to: amiquote@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
> > (Web page: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amiquote/messages/)
> > --------------------------------------------
> > Check group FAQ at:
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/files/groupfaq.html 
> > 
> > Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to
http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/ 
> > 
> > 
> >


------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor ---------------------~-->
Make Money Online Auctions! Make $500.00 or We Will Give You Thirty Dollars for Trying!
http://us.click.yahoo.com/yMx78A/fNtFAA/46VHAA/GHeqlB/TM
---------------------------------------------------------------------~->

Send BUG REPORTS to bugs@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Send SUGGESTIONS to suggest@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
-----------------------------------------
Post AmiQuote-related messages ONLY to: amiquote@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
(Web page: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amiquote/messages/)
--------------------------------------------
Check group FAQ at: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/files/groupfaq.html 

Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/