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John,
Two points here -
1. The value tomorrow will have to be greater than the value you
subtract 15 days ago
2. The value tomorrow will have to be enough to change the moving
average to where it is greater than yesterdays value.
Prediction of values is relatively easy for only one value to be changes,
ie, close in a moving average. If more than one value is to be
changed, it is more complex.
Frank
At 06:37 PM 3/18/03 +0000, you wrote:
Hi,
Does anyone know how I can predict a trend
change. I want to know what value will make a MA go positive
tomorrow.
If I take the MA for the past 15 days
and subtract the MA for one day back from the 15 days then if it's
positive I am saying that the trend is up.
How can I determine the value that
will make it go negative?
Thanks
John Rowlinson
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