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RE: Stock Selection was: [amibroker] Re: NDX / QQQ - Can it be traded ?



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Rats.  Wish I had seen your msg, Al,
before popping for the 3.95. Now I can see if he put something in the article
that was not in the manual.  Somehow, I doubt it. Thanks for the link.

 

Ken

 

-----Original Message-----
From: Al Venosa
[mailto:avcinci@xxxxxxxxxxx] 
Sent: Thursday, February 06, 2003
1:44 PM
To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: Re: Stock Selection was:
[amibroker] Re: NDX / QQQ - Can it be traded ?

 





Fred,

Steve
Notis sells a trading software called Powerkit (<a
href="">www.byte-research.com). At that site,
you can download the user manual for free. In that manual, he discusses
optimization in great detail, so you don't need to buy the TASC article. I
believe he may even have a discussion of this topic on his web site. 





Al Venosa





>From: "Fred " 



>Reply-To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 

>To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 

>Subject: Stock Selection was: [amibroker] Re: NDX / QQQ - Can it be
traded ? 

>Date: Thu, 06 Feb 2003 18:35:59 -0000 

> 

>Jayson, 

> 

>Here's the article. Unfortunately TASC wants to charge for 

>everything they ever printed these days. 

> 

>http://store.traders.com/v15261aryour.html 

> 

>It begins ... 

> 

>Are Your Profits Robust? by Steve Notis 

> 

>Your trading system probably has a set of parameters you think are 

>the most profitable. But is it the most consistent? Here's a 

>technique to find the most robust set that will give you regular 

>profits. 

> 

>For those who use trading systems, the most important concern
should 

>not be to find parameters that yield the greatest profit; rather,
it 

>should be to find the most robust parameters. Anyone can tweak a 

>system until it shows startling results, but unless those
parameters 

>are robust, they will not hold up in real-world trading. 

> 

>Several testing methods can be used to increase a system's 

>robustness. The first, and simplest, is to test over long periods. 

>This assures that the test includes a variety of market conditions.


>The second method is the walk-forward, or blind, data test. This 

>typically consists of optimizing trading parameters over a long 

>period, but stopping short of the present. Finally, the best 

>parameters are tested over the remaining, nonoptimized, data. This
is 

>also referred to as walk-forward, blind, virgin, out-of-sample, and


>it has even been referred to as real-time testing. 

> 

>If the optimized parameters work well over the blind data, then it 

>can be argued that the parameters are robust and likely to continue


>to work for some time into the future. Since the final test is run 

>without the benefit of hindsight or optimization, it's as close to 

>real trading as you can simulate with historical data. However,
don't 

>assume that the most profitable parameters are the best parameters
- 

>meaning those that will be the most profitable in the future. 

> 

>The rest costs $3.95 if you don't have old issues at home already. 

>It's worth a read. 

> 

>--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Fred "


> wrote: 

> > Jayson, 

> > 

> > That's exactly the point I was trying to make ... 

> > 

> > In the example you used and my comments of that example the 

>parameter 

> > value of 100 may be the best value using increments are 25,
but it 

>is 

> > invisibly a much tighter fit then 91 is. The reason for this
is 

>that 

> > next to 100 is a performance canyon at 102 where the DD's
skyrocket 

> > but surrounding 91 are 10 points on either side i.e. 81
through 101 

> > where similar results are achieved. 

> > 

> > This kind of situation where performance canyons occur next
to some 

> > parameter value are common in system development and testing
making 

> > the most robust values in the middle of the range where
similar 

>MAR's 

> > are as opposed to maybe where the highest CAR or MAR occurs.
The 

> > idea behind system development and optimization of course is
to 

>give 

> > the system the highest chance of success going forward as
opposed 

>to 

> > having bragging rights looking backward. There was a good
article 

> > about this in TASC a few years ago which I'll try and find
the 

> > reference for if you are interested. 

> > 

> > I think Herman did a prestation on this and included a usable
Excel 

> > spreadsheet in the files area and although I personally don't
think 

> > it goes far enough because it only looks at CAR, I do think
it's in 

> > the correct direction. 

> > 

> > Fred 

> > 

> > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Jayson" wrote:


> > > Again Fred, it seems to me that what you are
accomplishing is a 

> > fit. Going 

> > > forward will this extremely fine tune hold true? As a
strong 

> > proponent of 

> > > system trading you are probably in a better position to
answer 

>that 

> > question 

> > > but to me robustness is a measure of how widely the the
stock (s) 

> > may vary 

> > > from the optimized sweet spot and still remain
consistently 

> > profitable. The 

> > > one constant in the stock market is that it is not
constant. For 

>a 

> > system to 

> > > perform as expected going forward it seems to me that
the system 

> > must be 

> > > flexible. Optimizing to such tight tolerances makes that
goal 

> > challenging. 

> > > 

> > > Jayson 

> > > -----Original Message----- 

> > > From: Fred [mailto:fctonetti@xxxx] 

> > > Sent: Thursday, February 06, 2003 12:44 PM 

> > > To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 

> > > Subject: Stock Selection was: [amibroker] Re: NDX / QQQ
- Can it 

>be 

> > traded ? 

> > > 

> > > 

> > > Jayson, 

> > > 

> > > Using your example ... 

> > > 

> > > Wouldn't you consider it more appropriate to optimize in
steps of 

> > one 

> > > and plot the results looking at the CAR & MDD's or
some 

>combination 

> > > of those such as MAR = CAR / MDD and see where the most
stable or 

> > > robust area of MAR is for the parameters in play. 

> > > 

> > > For example lets assume that you first optimize by 25
and find the 

> > > best MAR is at 100. 

> > > 

> > > And lets assume that you optimize again by 1 and find
out the 

>range 

> > > between 81 and 101 is all pretty much the same but that
at 74 the 

> > CAR 

> > > goes way down and at 102 the DD's go way up. Are you
really 

>going 

> > to 

> > > use 100 as the final value ? or the midpoint between 81
and 101 

>i.e 

> > > what I would consider to be the more robust setting. 

> > > 

> > > Fred 

> > > 

> > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Jayson" wrote:


> > > > Ken, 

> > > > 

> > > > Example: lets say one of your optimizations is the
length of a 

> > > given MA. If 

> > > > your range is set from 20-200 with steps of 1 then
the 

> > optimization 

> > > will be 

> > > > lengthy and what you will have accomplished is a
tight curve 

>fit 

> > of 

> > > the Ma 

> > > > that historically worked on this basket over this
time frame. 

>The 

> > > result may 

> > > > very well not work as well in RT . On the other
hand lets say 

>you 

> > > are 

> > > > optimizing the same MA, 1-200 but instead of
increments of 1 you 

> > > use steps 

> > > > of 25. This may offer a better representation since
it does not 

> > > necessarily 

> > > > curve to fit 1 or a few very good trades but
instead may 

>capture a 

> > > greater 

> > > > percentage of good or bad trades..... 

> > > > 

> > > > Jayson 

> > > > -----Original Message----- 

> > > > From: Ken Close [mailto:closeks@xxxx] 

> > > > Sent: Thursday, February 06, 2003 11:55 AM 

> > > > To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 

> > > > Subject: RE: Stock Selection was: [amibroker] Re:
NDX / QQQ - 

>Can 

> > > it be 

> > > > traded ? 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > Well, I almost did not respond (although thanks for
writing). 

>I 

> > am 

> > > not 

> > > > concerned with the price factors etc. 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > This is the thing I am concerned with. I hear your
other 

>emphasis 

> > > and am 

> > > > taking care of that. The following is the area my
previous post 

> > > referred 

> > > > to. 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > "The challenge is to find a good range of
settings with out 

> > risking 

> > > a curve 

> > > > fit, other wise the system will not likely trade in
the same 

> > manner 

> > > as it 

> > > > tests." 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > Any further comments on this one aspect of your
reply??? 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > Anyone else??? 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > Ken 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > -----Original Message----- 

> > > > From: Jayson [mailto:jcasavant@xxxx] 

> > > > Sent: Thursday, February 06, 2003 11:41 AM 

> > > > To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 

> > > > Subject: RE: Stock Selection was: [amibroker] Re:
NDX / QQQ - 

>Can 

> > > it be 

> > > > traded ? 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > Apples and Oranges Ken. Perhaps we can make a
Nectarine! If you 

> > > choose a 

> > > > basket of stocks based on a given criteria then
testing that 

> > basket 

> > > over 10 

> > > > years may well hold no significance. Lets use a
simple filter. 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > C>10; 

> > > > 

> > > > ma(v,50)>100000; 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > Lets consider that this is the criteria for our
initial 

> > > scan/selection. 

> > > > Where were the conditions 1-2-5-10 years ago? If
the conditions 

> > > were not met 

> > > > just 1 year ago would we have selected the stock
for use in our 

> > > system? If 

> > > > not then what is the value of testing its results
2-5-10 years 

> > ago? 

> > > With 

> > > > this approach you would need to test that the
conditions were in 

> > > fact met X 

> > > > years ago then test forward using your selection
criteria to 

>exit 

> > > when 

> > > > necessary. This insures that you would not be
testing stocks 

>that 

> > > in RT you 

> > > > would have no intention of trading. 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > You may wish to be careful with your Optimization.
The 

>challenge 

> > is 

> > > to find 

> > > > a good range of settings with out risking a curve
fit, other 

>wise 

> > > the system 

> > > > will not likely trade in the same manner as it
tests. 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > Jayson 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > -----Original Message----- 

> > > > From: Ken Close [mailto:closeks@xxxx] 

> > > > Sent: Thursday, February 06, 2003 11:10 AM 

> > > > To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 

> > > > Subject: RE: Stock Selection was: [amibroker] Re:
NDX / QQQ - 

>Can 

> > > it be 

> > > > traded ? 

> > > > 

> > > > Jayson: your advice is very good as well as
comprehensive..I am 

> > > still left 

> > > > unsettled as to my approach. 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > Lets say my indicator/system is relatively short
term in nature 

> > > (lookbacks 

> > > > are somewhat short). But, I want to employ some of
the 

>principles 

> > > that Fred 

> > > > talked about namely to be sure I optimize over a
long period so 

> > > various 

> > > > market conditions are captured). [I know the
argument that the 

> > > nature of 

> > > > the market changed on 3/1/2000 and therefore
optimizations 

>should 

> > > be done 

> > > > after that point---I tend to want to be more
conservative and 

> > > capture 

> > > > conditions on both sides of the peak]. Also, a
system that 

> > > optimizes to 

> > > > good performance across that period seems a more
conservative 

> > > and "robust" 

> > > > system. Witness Freds model of results in his
"spectacular" 

> > system- 

> > > the 

> > > > equity curve kept going up and was smooth as the
system passed 

> > over 

> > > > 3/1/2000, 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > As I said previously, the optimization process is a
lengthy 

>one, 

> > so 

> > > my 

> > > > approach is to do all of what you said below in
other scans (I 

> > pull 

> > > out of 

> > > > TC2000 many of the conditions you talk about
below). This is my 

> > > selection 

> > > > watchlist. Then, I do not want to / can not take
the time to 

>run 

> > > > optimizations on 300 or 800 stocks so I want a
screening 

>approach 

> > > that has a 

> > > > good probability of finding stocks that
"resonate" with my 

>system. 

> > > Then, I 

> > > > will optimize these stocks. 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > I still have to try DTs approach and probably alter
it to 

>conform 

> > a 

> > > little 

> > > > more closely with my system. Another approach is
that if I have 

> > > for example 

> > > > some trigger levels in my model...while these might
optimize 

>out 

> > to 

> > > extremes 

> > > > for individual members (think about RSI crossing 30
and 70), 

>then 

> > my 

> > > > screening formula might set a standard trigger of
crossing 50 

> > > either way. 

> > > > Stocks that do "well" against the 50/50
cross should do better 

> > when 

> > > > optimized to exact levels. Stocks that do poorly
against the 

> > 50/50 

> > > cross 

> > > > will still do poorly when optimized. Don't you
think this is a 

> > > correct way 

> > > > of looking at it? 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > Thanks for the help. Any further comments on the
above point? 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > Ken 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > -----Original Message----- 

> > > > From: Jayson [mailto:jcasavant@xxxx] 

> > > > Sent: Thursday, February 06, 2003 10:24 AM 

> > > > To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 

> > > > Subject: Stock Selection was: [amibroker] Re: NDX /
QQQ - Can 

>it 

> > be 

> > > traded ? 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > Ken, 

> > > > 

> > > > I agree with Dimitris. To select a basket of stocks
you must 

>first 

> > > select an 

> > > > indicator or method/style to trade them with. If
your 

>System/style 

> > > is trend 

> > > > following then selecting a basket that trends
strongly (up or 

> > > down) is 

> > > > critical. The indicators that you read that tend to
behave for 

> > > trending 

> > > > conditions tend to fail miserably in consolidations.
The 

>reverse 

> > is 

> > > true for 

> > > > Rolling stocks. You can use simple methods to begin
the process 

> > > such as 20 

> > > > and 50 ma or slope of either. Many use a floor of
price such as 

> > > c>10 or 15 

> > > > or whatever. Volume is certainly a major
consideration since 

> > without 

> > > > liquidity the trade may be too challenging.
Volatility is also 

> > > something to 

> > > > consider and to compare to your trading style. Do
you (can you) 

> > > stomach the 

> > > > wild rides of stock like BEAS whose current ATR is
>7% of the 

> > > current price 

> > > > (today moved nearly 8% on the open!!) or are you
more 

>comfortable 

> > > trading in 

> > > > the 3-5% range? Some like to add fundamental
criteria. Though 

>not 

> > > easily 

> > > > accomplished within AB there are data suppliers (QP
and TC2000 

>to 

> > > name a 

> > > > few) that make such an initial screen very easy.
Add your own 

> > > criteria to 

> > > > pare down your initial universe to a more workable
number. A 

>lot 

> > of 

> > > my work 

> > > > revolves around Sector Rotation. Determining where
the money is 

> > > flowing in 

> > > > or out can help you to further refine your list. I
think Ara is 

> > > also working 

> > > > in this area and may wish to add some of his
thoughts. 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > IMO this type of selection process offers insight
into what is 

> > most 

> > > likely 

> > > > to work in the short term. Testing a basket
selection using this 

> > > type of 

> > > > approach over a long period (years) may not yield
the desired 

> > > results 

> > > > because the above criteria is constantly in motion.
However if 

>you 

> > > find that 

> > > > your system or approach tends to work well under
those 

>conditions 

> > > then 

> > > > choosing stocks that meet a given criteria can
yield impressive 

> > > results. 

> > > > Consider this a method of optimizing. Instead of
optimizing the 

> > > settings in 

> > > > a group of indicators so that the results test well
on a given 

>set 

> > > of 

> > > > stocks, over a given time frame you are instead
selecting a 

>given 

> > > universe 

> > > > that tends to do well with a given set if
indicators. 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > Regards, 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > 

> > > > Jayson 

> > > > 

> > > > -----Original Message----- 

> > > > From: DIMITRIS TSOKAKIS [mailto:TSOKAKIS@xxxx]


> > > > Sent: Thursday, February 06, 2003 5:50 AM 

> > > > To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 

> > > > Subject: [amibroker] Re: NDX / QQQ - Can it be
traded ? 

> > > > 

> > > > Ken, 

> > > > I will try to describe an objective method I often
use to select 

> > > > stocks. 

> > > > First of all it depends on the indicator/system you
use [since I 

> > > have 

> > > > not yet any ...holy grail available] 

> > > > Let us suppose you want to use the smoothed MeanRSI
as a general 

> > > > indicator and you want to find "good"
applications. 

> > > > The DEMA(MeanRSI,45) is a quite smooth and
descriptive 

>oscillator 

> > > for 

> > > > ^NDX market. 

> > > > If you could buy at troughs and sell at peaks [with
some zig 

> > period 

> > > > around 20] you would have one of the best 

> > > > performances for this Market indicator. Does it
suites to ANY 

> > stock? 

> > > > Certainly not. 

> > > > Run the 

> > > > 

> > > > f=Foreign("~SUMRSI","C")/Foreign("~COUNT","V");F=DEMA


>(F,45);z=20; 

> > > > Buy=TroughBars(f,z)==0;Sell=PeakBars(f,z) 

>==0;Short=Sell;Cover=Buy; 

> > > > 

> > > > from, say, May1, 2000 till now and see the top
gainers [NTAP, 

> > JNPR, 

> > > > CIEN etc] and the top loosers [FHCC, PDCO, ESRX
etc] 

> > > > Since Peak/Trough system is, as you know,
unrealistic, try to 

> > > replace 

> > > > it with a closest approximation. 

> > > > For smoothed oscillators a 2-level system is really
interesting. 

> > > > Try something like 

> > > > 

> > > >
f=Foreign("~SUMRSI","C")/Foreign("~COUNT","V");


> > > > X=45;//Optimize("X",45,35,50,5); 

> > > > F=DEMA(F,X); 

> > > > x1=Optimize("X1",42,38,44,1);//buy level 

> > > > x2=Optimize("X2",56,55,60,1);//sell level


> > > > b1=Cross(f,x1);b2=Cross(x1,f);//no need to be
fanatic with the 

> > type 

> > > > of cross, the system knows better 

> > > > s1=Cross(f,x2);s2=Cross(x2,f); 

> > > > nb=Optimize("nb",1,1,2,1); 

> > > > ns=Optimize("ns",1,1,2,1); 

> > > > nSH=Optimize("nSH",1,1,2,1); 

> > > > nCO=Optimize("nCO",2,1,2,1); 

> > > > Buy=IIf(nb==1,b1,b2);Sell=IIf(ns==1,s1,s2); 

> > > > Buy=ExRem(Buy,Sell);Sell=ExRem(Sell,Buy); 

> > > > Short=IIf(nSH==1,s1,s2);Cover=IIf(nCO==1,b1,b2); 

> > > > Short=ExRem(Short,Cover);Cover=ExRem(Cover,Short 

> > > > 

> > > > The good performance of JNPR in the theoretical
Peak/Trough 

> > project 

> > > > [around +1000% with 4/4/0 success] 

> > > > leaves room for good optimization results 

> > > > [sometimes better than the "ideal" model:
there are MANY 

> > > combinations 

> > > > better than +1000% for JNPR] 

> > > > The bad performance of ESRX means that this stock
need some 

>other 

> > > > treatment. 

> > > > The same optimization confirms the ESRX conclusion
: It is 

>better 

> > > not 

> > > > to trade this stock, since the most profitable
combination 

> > > > is the 0 trades ! 

> > > > Of course, this method is not always accurate, but
it gives good 

> > > > advices for the first selection. 

> > > > Besides that, I have met many times JNPR and RFMD
in the 4-digit 

> > > > profitable stocks, my experience is not great, I
come back to 

> > basics 

> > > > [CSCO 70% and BEAS 30%] quickly, I feel more safe
there, but, 

>it 

> > is 

> > > a 

> > > > matter of taste [crude oil and copper futures are
also 

> > interesting, 

> > > > but let us talk for stocks in this group] 

> > > > Does it help ? 

> > > > Dimitris 

> > > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Ken
Close" 



> > wrote: 

> > > > > DT: can you name some additional symbols,
besides CSCO and 

>BEAS, 

> > > > with 

> > > > > which you have seen similar success. Thanks
for sharing your 

> > > > > experience. 

> > > > > 

> > > > > Ken 

> > > > > 

> > > > > -----Original Message----- 

> > > > > From: DIMITRIS TSOKAKIS [mailto:TSOKAKIS@xxxx]


> > > > > 

> > > > > Sent: Tuesday, February 04, 2003 3:38 AM 

> > > > > To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 

> > > > > Subject: [amibroker] Re: NDX / QQQ - Can it be
traded ? 

> > > > > 

> > > > > Herman, 

> > > > > An annual system % return 100%-120% is
reasonable for many QQQ 

> > > > > systems from Jan2000 till now. 

> > > > > [Suppose always buy, sell, short, cover at
+1Open, 0.5% 

> > commission 

> > > > > and disabled stops] 

> > > > > I would be surprised indeed to see a double
return. 

> > > > > Above 200%-250% we may find some other popular
stocks, but 

>not 

> > > > QQQ, 

> > > > > AFAIK. 

> > > > > I come to believe there are some
"functional" limitations for 

> > QQQ 

> > > > > curve to exceed the annual 150%. 

> > > > > This conclusion is after MANY tests for
various trading 

>systems, 

> > > > > optimised or not. 

> > > > > This is a reason I prefer CSCO or BEAS for
example, their 

>curves 

> > > > are 

> > > > > more "profitable" and more flexible.


> > > > > Of course I [almost] always speak for medium
speed systems 

>[not 

> > > > more 

> > > > > than 6 trades per year] 

> > > > > It is more than 8 months I did not trade a
single QQQ share, I 

> > > > would 

> > > > > be glad to come back to my old favorite, but
for a better than 

> > > 180% 

> > > > > annual return. 

> > > > > This is my experience, I hope it hepls
somehow... 

> > > > > Dimitris 

> > > > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Herman
van den Bergen" 

> > > > > wrote: 

> > > > > > Well Fred, the real values to use when
estimating whether a 

> > > > trading 

> > > > > system 

> > > > > > is practical have never been answered on
this list. You are 

>a 

> > > > > trader, I am 

> > > > > > still mostly a tinkerer, so I respect
your opinion. As a 

>rule 

> > I 

> > > > > discard 

> > > > > > systems that do not survive my "acid
test" of 0.5%. This 

> > allows 

> > > > my 

> > > > > to fumble 

> > > > > > placing the trade, allows for some
over-optimization, 

> > slippage, 

> > > > > slow data, 

> > > > > > and even for some commission. 

> > > > > > 

> > > > > > There ought to be a formula based on
parameters like volume, 

> > > > > volatility and 

> > > > > > price, to gives us a working estimate.
Places that have 

>lots 

> > of 

> > > > > trading 

> > > > > > histories could crunch that out in
seconds. Would be 

> > interesting 

> > > > to 

> > > > > have a 

> > > > > > poll on this. 

> > > > > > 

> > > > > > Herman. 

> > > > > > 

> > > > > > -----Original Message----- 

> > > > > > From: Fred [mailto:fctonetti@xxxx]


> > > > > > Sent: Monday, February 03, 2003 4:03 PM 

> > > > > > To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 

> > > > > > Subject: [amibroker] Re: NDX / QQQ - Can
it be traded ? 

> > > > > > 

> > > > > > 

> > > > > > Herman, 

> > > > > > 

> > > > > > Let's use today as an example and assume
you are going to 

> > > trade 

> > > > > QQQ 

> > > > > > after you make a decision on where NDX
closes ... 

> > > > > > 

> > > > > > At 4:00 PM QQQ was as at 24.50 

> > > > > > 

> > > > > > Between there and 4:15 QQQ got as high as
24.54 and as 

>low 

> > as 

> > > > > 24.48 

> > > > > > or 0.16% over and 0.08% under as
EXTREMES. 

> > > > > > 

> > > > > > Thomas, 

> > > > > > 

> > > > > > I'm not quite ready to toss it on the
scrap heap yet. I 

> > just 

> > > > > started 

> > > > > > playing with it. 

> > > > > > 

> > > > > > 

> > > > > > 

> > > > > > 

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