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Re: [amibroker] Trading system development and simulations



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If the process is random (as the game likely is) 
there is no such thing as a "streak", specifically it is a Markov process with 
no history feedback.  It would be interesting to understand just what 
Tharp's game teaches.
 
Some think/hope/assume/pray/etc, btw, thatthere is 
information in the time history of an security.  A "system" that exploits 
this history and get to conditions which are favorable may indeed have a 
"streak".  
 
www.bjmath.com 
has some interesting articles.  The BJ is BlackJack, which has well know 
properties that can tilt the odds towards a player at times.
 
Cheers
 
Richard
 
----- Original Message ----- 
<BLOCKQUOTE 
>
<DIV 
>From: 
E 
Winters 
To: <A title=amibroker@xxxxxxxxxx 
href="">amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
Sent: Friday, June 28, 2002 6:02 PM
Subject: Re: [amibroker] Trading system 
development and simulations

David,
Van Tharp has a demo of his trading program on 
his web site.  If you agree to get a free copy of his newsletter and 
register (he does send announcements about his courses to registered users) 
you can download it and try it out.  Look for the free trading game box 
on the main page at <A 
href="">www.iitm.com
 
One theory is based on the theory of runs.  
When you are on a winning streak you should risk more per trade until youhave 
a loser.  Try adding to winning streaks and see how it improves 
trading.
Regards,
Ed
<BLOCKQUOTE 
>
----- Original Message ----- 
<DIV 
>From: 
David 
Holzgrefe 
To: <A title=amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxx 
href="">amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Friday, June 28, 2002 5:41 
PM
Subject: Re: [amibroker] Tradingsystem 
development and simulations

AL an interesting article , Has anyonetried 
his trading game ?? what did they learn from it 
 
David
<BLOCKQUOTE 
>
----- Original Message ----- 
<DIV 
>From: 
Avcinci 

To: <A 
title=amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
href="">amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 

Sent: Saturday, June 29, 2002 6:32 
AM
Subject: [amibroker] Trading system 
development and simulations

Here is a very interesting article I got from Tharp's forum by Frank 
Gallucci. It is about trading system development and simulating.It's 
a good read: <A 
href="">http://www.iitm.com/Weekly_update/simulations1.htm
 
Al Venosa
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