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RE: [amibroker] Re: QQQ Individual Analysis



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Rick
-----Original Message-----
From: dtsokakis [mailto:TSOKAKIS@x...]
Sent: Sunday, June 23, 2002 2:16 PM
To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: [amibroker] Re: QQQ Individual Analysis


Peter,
My data begin on 3/1/2000.
See analytic #
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/message/20095
DT
--- In amibroker@xxxx, "bluesinvestor" <investor@xxxx> wrote:
> Dimitris,
> 
> Again great performance and yet not the same trades or results ... 
does your
> history go back further than Jan 2000?
> 
> Peter
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Dimitris Tsokakis [mailto:TSOKAKIS@x...]
> Sent: Sunday, June 23, 2002 11:59 AM
> To: amibroker@xxxx
> Subject: [amibroker] QQQ Individual Analysis
> 
> 
> If you are fed up from my Composite Analysis, let us make a break 
with an
> individual one.
> Simple logic, simple profits, pre-indicator era.[High, Low and 
thats all
> !!]
> Dimitris Tsokakis
> 
> 
> Yahoo! Groups Sponsor
> ADVERTISEMENT
> 
> 
> 
> 
> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of 
Service.


Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of Service. 


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<DIV><SPAN class=330363818-23062002><FONT color=#000080 size=2>My results differ 
too.&nbsp; Wonder why??</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><FONT face="Vladimir Script" color=#000080 
size=5>Rick</FONT></STRONG></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE>
<DIV class=OutlookMessageHeader dir=ltr align=left><FONT face=Tahoma 
size=2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B> dtsokakis 
[mailto:TSOKAKIS@x...]<BR><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, June 23, 2002 2:16 
PM<BR><B>To:</B> amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx<BR><B>Subject:</B> [amibroker]Re: 
QQQ Individual Analysis<BR><BR></FONT></DIV><TT>Peter,<BR>My data begin on 
3/1/2000.<BR>See analytic #<BR><A 
href="http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/message/20095";>http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/message/20095</A><BR>DT<BR>--- 
In amibroker@xxxx, "bluesinvestor" &lt;investor@xxxx&gt; wrote:<BR>&gt; 
Dimitris,<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; Again great performance and yet not the same trades 
or results ... <BR>does your<BR>&gt; history go back further than Jan 
2000?<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; Peter<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; -----Original 
Message-----<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; From: Dimitris Tsokakis 
[mailto:TSOKAKIS@x...]<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; Sent: Sunday, June 23, 2002 11:59 
AM<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; To: amibroker@xxxx<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; Subject: 
[amibroker] QQQ Individual Analysis<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; <BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;If 
you are fed up from my Composite Analysis, let us make a break <BR>with 
an<BR>&gt; individual one.<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; Simple logic, simple profits, 
pre-indicator era.[High, Low and <BR>thats all<BR>&gt; !!]<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
Dimitris Tsokakis<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; 
<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Yahoo! Groups 
Sponsor<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
ADVERTISEMENT<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; <BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; Your use 
of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of 
<BR>Service.<BR><BR></TT><BR><TT>Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the 
Yahoo! Terms of Service.</TT> 
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Title: AmiBroker System Test Report






Settings

 

Initial Equity:
10000

Periodicity/Positions:
Daily/Long Short

Commissions:
0.50 %

Annual interest rate:
0.00%

Range:
1/3/00 - 6/21/02

Apply to:
Current Symbol

Long trades

Buy price:
Open

Sell price:
Close

Buy delay:
1

Sell delay:
1

Short trades

Short price:
Open

Cover price:
Close

Short delay:
1

Cover delay:
1

Stops

Maximum loss:
disabled

Profit target:
disabled

Value:
0.00

Value:
5.00

Exit at stop?
yes

Exit at stop?
no

 

Trailing stop:
disabled

 
 

Value:
15.00

 
 

Exit at stop?
yes

 
 




Formula/* QQQ.AFL */ 
d1=14;  
d2=43;  
F2=H-L<=0.001*d1*(H+L);  
F1=H-L>=0.001*d2*(H+L);  
Sell=F2;Buy=F1;  
Buy=ExRem(Buy,Sell);Sell=ExRem(Sell,Buy);  
Short=Sell;Cover=Buy;  
Short=ExRem(Short,Cover);Cover=ExRem(Cover,Short);  
//QQQ [14,43]=+177% [LONG]   
//QQQ [14,43]=+359% [SHORT] AND   
//QQQ [14,43]=+1175% [LONG & SHORT] 




Overall performance summary

 

Total net profit:
42626.07
 
Total commissions paid:
3515.92

Return on account:
426.26 % 
 
Open position gain/loss
11605.55

Buy&Hold profit:
-7379.08
 
Bars (avg. days) in test:
620 (901)

Buy&Hold % return:
-73.79%
 
System to Buy&Hold index:
677.66%

 

Annual system % return:
95.96%
 
Annual B&H % return:
-41.87%

 

System drawdown:
-885.71
 
B&H drawdown:
-7333.33

Max. system drawdown:
-10176.96
 
B&H max. drawdown:
-9860.95

Max. system % drawdown:
-45.52%
 
B&H max. % drawdown:
-78.71%

Max. trade drawdown:
-8009.52
 
 
 

Max. trade % drawdown:
-38.96%
 
 
 

Trade drawdown:
-7896.40
 
 
 

 

Total number of trades:
19
 
Percent profitable:
84.2%

Number winning trades:
16
 
Number losing trades:
3

Profit of winners:
38701.86
 
Loss of losers:
-7681.34

Total # of bars in winners:
360
 
Total # of bars in losers:
119

Commissions paid in winners:
3121.79
 
Commissions paid in losers:
394.13

 

Largest winning trade:
8053.46
 
Largest losing trade:
-6206.54

# of bars in largest winner:
98
 
# bars in largest loser:
58

Commission paid in largest winner:
264.21
 
Commission paid in largest loser:
162.00

 

Average winning trade:
2418.87
 
Average losing trade:
-2560.45

Avg. # of bars in winners:
22.5
 
Avg. # bars in losers:
39.7

Avg. commission paid in winner:
195.11
 
Avg. commission paid in loser:
131.38

Max consec. winners:
7
 
Max consec. losers:
2

 

Bars out of the market:
2
 
Interest earned:
0.00

 

Exposure:
99.7%
 
Risk adjusted ann. return:
96.27%

Ratio avg win/avg loss:
0.94
 
Avg. trade (win & loss):
1632.66

Profit factor:
5.04
 







Trade list for QQQ 

Trade
Entry date
Exit date
Net Profit
Equity value

Long
1/5/00
1/18/00
624.93
10624.93

Short
1/18/00
1/28/00
589.93
11214.85

Long
1/28/00
2/7/00
941.74
12156.59

Short
2/7/00
4/5/00
-479.15
11677.44

Long
4/5/00
5/2/00
-995.65
10681.78

Short
5/2/00
5/24/00
1615.57
12297.35

Long
5/24/00
6/5/00
2953.84
15251.19

Short
6/5/00
8/4/00
197.05
15448.24

Long
8/4/00
8/16/00
169.23
15617.47

Short
8/16/00
10/16/00
1745.97
17363.44

Long
10/16/00
11/3/00
238.98
17602.42

Short
11/3/00
12/11/00
1620.33
19222.74

Long
12/11/00
3/6/01
-6206.54
13016.21

Short
3/6/01
4/4/01
3876.02
16892.23

Long
4/4/01
4/30/01
5370.07
22262.30

Short
4/30/01
9/20/01
8053.46
30315.76

Long
9/20/01
10/16/01
5513.95
35829.72

Short
10/16/01
10/18/01
1019.60
36849.32

Long
10/18/01
11/5/01
4171.20
41020.52

Open Short
11/5/01
6/21/02
11605.55
52626.07